How is the mutton sheep farming market? 2019 trend forecast analysis

The sheep farming industry has been viewed unfavorably from 2016 to now, the industry is sluggish, and the market has also been slowly trending downward. This decline has appeared in both rural and urban areas, which has also caused a large number of mutton sheep farmers to give up raising sheep and turn their attention to other livestock farming. Now only some farmers are still persisting. In recent years, the sheep farming industry has relied entirely on some large farms and some enterprises to provide supply and exported sheep. Looking at the trend from the first half of 2018 to now, below the editor will tell everyone about the sheep farming market in 2019!

I. Profit situation of mutton sheep farming in 2019

1. The mutton sheep market has been declining in recent years, remaining sluggish for three consecutive years. The profitability of many farmers can no longer be guaranteed, and basically fluctuates around the cost line. Therefore, in the past two years, mutton sheep farmers have basically found it very difficult to make money, and being able to break even is already very good. Those with small numbers are still okay, but those with relatively large farming scale are basically operating at a loss and cannot even recover their capital. In addition, there are fewer and fewer buyers, and it is very difficult to find buyers to ship to. This has also led many people to sell at low prices and then be forced to give up continuing to farm.

2. According to the current situation, it mainly depends on whether there is room for recovery in the second half of this year and what the trend in the second half will be. If the market gradually recovers in the second half, buyers will certainly increase as well. Some buyers will take advantage of this period of price rebound to buy in large quantities and make a profit. Until the end of the year and the beginning of spring the following year, the slaughter rate should rise. In addition, it also depends on farmers' control of mutton sheep farming costs. The selling price of mutton sheep varies from region to region, so we can only control what we can control and try to keep costs to a minimum. This year, the price of mutton on the market will not rise much and will basically remain at last year's level. In the first half of next year, there should be a period of recovery.

3. For some individual rural farmers or some small farms, the pressure of farming costs will become greater and greater. If there is no profit, some may have trouble with cash flow. In addition, as the scale expands, the input of feed costs and labor costs will also increase, and the profit from raising sheep will become even smaller. Some large farms will persist with scientific sheep farming, ensuring feed while reducing costs to a minimum, controlling total cost input, and creating the highest profit while maintaining stable capital flow.

II. Analysis of the mutton sheep market prospects in 2019

Half of the year has already passed, and the second half is about to arrive. Demand for mutton sheep will certainly enter a recovery stage, and the closer it gets to the end of the year, the higher the price will be. The following points are analyzed for this:

1. At present, most farms in China do not have much mutton sheep inventory left, because from previous years to now sheep farming has been in a loss-making state, so basically many sheep farmers have given up this industry, causing inventory and supply to drop sharply, and prices to recover.

2. In the past two years, forage suppliers have had insufficient forage supply, causing forage prices to rise as well, and the price of mutton sheep will naturally rise along with it.

III. Cost and profit of farming a single sheep

1. According to market surveys, the price of live sheep is 7.6-8.4 yuan per kilogram. At 7.6 yuan per kilogram, that is about 380 yuan per sheep.

2. The daily cost of one mutton sheep is about 0.6 yuan: a little more than one kilogram of hay per day, and one kilogram is about 0.25 yuan for the hay. Many ingredients need to be added during the mixing process, totaling 0.35 yuan. The feed for one sheep per day is 0.25+0.35=0.6 yuan.

3. The slaughter profit of one mutton sheep is 308 yuan (after deducting costs).

4. The annual profit of one ewe is 1548 yuan. This is the total profit after including feed concentrate and epidemic prevention fees and other expenses.

IV. Price trends in various places the year before last

The above is the 2019 forecast for the mutton sheep farming market. This is what the mutton sheep market and farming situation have been like in recent years. It does not look very smooth, and there are losses. Some small farmers have withdrawn. Everyone should consider carefully before farming. If this article is helpful to everyone, please pay more attention to this website. Qinongwang will continue to provide everyone with the latest, best and most complete agricultural technical support!