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  • Ministry of Land and Resources Explores Comprehensive Bid Evaluation for Land Transfers, Cracks Down on Land Hoarding and Speculation and Illegal Land Occupation

    Ministry of Land and Resources Explores Comprehensive Bid Evaluation for Land Transfers; Ministry of Housing and Urban-Rural Development: Hot-Spot Cities to Restrict Speculative Purchases of Multiple Homes Liu Zhanchao In order to effectively participate in real estate regulation, the Ministry of Land and Resources (hereinafter referred to as the "Ministry of Land and Resources") will crack down hard this year on land hoarding and land speculation, while exploring comprehensive bid evaluation methods for land transfers.

  • Three ministries warn grain speculators: disrupting the grain market can lead to criminal liability

    The reporter learned from the National Development and Reform Commission and the State Administration of Grain that since the spring of this year, the abnormal rise in prices of some vegetables, grain and other agricultural and sideline products in China has been closely related to speculation by speculators. In April, the National Development and Reform Commission, the Ministry of Commerce and the State Administration for Industry and Commerce jointly carried out multiple

  • Soybean meal market faces pullback pressure after weather-driven speculation

    Over the past two months, soybean meal futures contracts have seen a sharp decline followed by a rapid rebound, and the current price is already close to the high at the start of the decline. Does this mean the soybean meal market has already reversed? First, let us analyze the reasons for the earlier decline in soybean meal: First, sluggish domestic demand for soybean meal led to price declines. Weak demand in the livestock and aquaculture industry constrained soybean meal consumption. China's hog inventory and breeding sow inventory fell sharply year on year; prices of meat, eggs and poultry were sluggish, and farming losses were severe; demand in aquaculture slowed, constraining demand for protein meal. Second, soybean meal supply increased substantially, spot prices fell sharply, some basis contracts faced default risk, and selling off occurred.</P><P> Now let us look at the reasons for the rapid rise in soybean meal. The author believes that the rise in soybean meal came partly from a return of prices after the earlier excessive decline; on the other hand, it came from speculation driven by heavy rain in the main U.S. soybean producing areas, which caused market concern about U.S. soybean planted area and good-to-excellent ratings. The planted area data and weekly soybean good-to-excellent ratings data released by the U.S. Department of Agriculture on June 30 both confirmed the market's concerns about U.S. soybean planting. These data will, in the short term, still support U.S. soybean futures in maintaining high-level oscillation, which will substantially raise the cost of China's imported soybeans, forcing crushing plants to passively raise the prices of soybean meal and soybean oil.</P><P> But in the short term, speculation over the impact of severe weather on planting may cool somewhat, and the loose fundamentals will bring great pressure on soybean meal prices.</P><P> From the perspective of soybean meal supply, global soybean supply is ample. After U.S. soybeans hit a record high last year, soybean output in Argentina and Brazil also hit record highs, which will suppress legume prices over the medium and long term. Domestically, China's soybean imports in June may reach 8.53 million tons and in July reach 8 million tons, so soybean sources are very abundant; at present, the operating rate of domestic crushing plants remains at an extremely high level of about 54%, and soybean meal supply has recently remained high. The volume of domestic rapeseed meal and imported DDGS remains high, suppressing plant protein prices.</P><P> On the demand side, although the hog farming industry currently shows restocking demand, truly driving soybean meal consumption may still require waiting for hog inventory data to stop falling and rebound before it can be confirmed. The meat, egg and poultry farming industry remains sluggish. Due to oversupply, prices of meat poultry and eggs fell sharply earlier, severely dampening the enthusiasm of farming enterprises to restock. In aquaculture, because oversupply last year led to sharp price declines, pond stock levels in the south are relatively high this year, constraining the release of fry. Recently, rainfall has been excessive, feed placement in ponds has decreased, which is bearish for meal consumption. Later, as large quantities of stocked fish are sold, demand for protein meal from newly released fry may decline substantially, so demand for protein meal from aquaculture later is also worrying.</P><P> Based on the information on both supply and demand, the author believes that soybean meal supply and demand will remain loose, and after the bullish U.S. heavy rain weather factor is fully priced in, soybean meal prices will return to fundamentals in the short term, with the possibility of oscillating pullbacks.</P></p>

  • How Can Nursery Farmers Avoid Becoming Cannon Fodder for Market Speculation

    It is well known that honesty is the foundation of doing business, but in the face of huge economic temptation, there is always a small handful of people who not only take the risk of doing one-off deals themselves, but also stir things up across the whole industry, competing to be the black sheep! The nursery stock industry, as one of the fastest-growing industries in our country,

  • Inside the Orchid Speculation: Buying and Selling to Oneself to Drive Up Prices

    From a dramatic surge to a dramatic crash, the orchid market has gone through an astonishing cycle of boom and bust. As we saw earlier, the comings and goings of speculators are an important factor behind orchid price fluctuations, so how exactly do these speculators manipulate the orchid market? Mr. Liu was formerly a trader at a securities company in Kunming. When the orchid market was booming...

  • How should we view orchid speculation? Moderate speculation is not a bad thing, but excessive speculation is extremely harmful.

    The Chinese say that investing in stocks is "stir-frying stocks," and investing in real estate is "stir-frying property." Even an outstanding woman like "Sister Feng" needs some hype to multiply her value, so does our orchid industry also need speculation? Exactly what are the common...

  • Garlic prices hard to predict? Garlic farmers and traders on the calculations behind garlic speculation

    Garlic hard to predict? Speculating on garlic plays people! A garlic farmer and a garlic trader talk about "garlic calculations"

  • Live fish pulled from shelves sparks speculation, and public questioning is also a form of oversight

    "Live fish pulled from shelves" sparking speculation is also a form of oversight