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The 13th Five-Year Plan agricultural upgrade faces heavy development pressure
2016 is the inaugural year of the 13th Five-Year Plan. At that time, what situation and challenges will China's food security face? Where will China's agricultural structural adjustment begin? How will crop production and agricultural product processing technology innovate? How will domestic and international food safety strategies connect and
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Rural e-commerce faces the dilemma of logistics losses reaching 30% and lagging support services
Logistics losses for agricultural products reach 30%; chaos abounds in the training segment; support is crippled: entrepreneurship has a path, but implementation has no door. Reporters from Economic Information Daily recently conducted surveys in some rural areas of Jiangsu, Hubei, Guangxi, Hainan and other places and learned that at present, rural e-commerce plays an important role in
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China's food security faces three prominent problems, State Council official explains
China News Service, Beijing, November 15 (Reporter Ma Haiyan) Li Wei, director of the Development Research Center of China's State Council, said in Beijing on November 15 that China's grain and food security field faces three prominent problems: resource and environmental costs, the impact of the international market, and hidden quality and safety risks. At
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Rural development faces challenges in three aspects; what exactly are these problems?
On November 2, the General Office of the CPC Central Committee and the General Office of the State Council issued the "Comprehensive Implementation Plan for Deepening Rural Reform," and public opinion generally holds that the publication of this document means the top-level design for rural reform has officially been released. In my view, the document is a major step by rural work toward
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Internet Plus grain faces triple security risks
Our main business right now is visiting large grain enterprises, hoping to attract these enterprises to register as members on our website and conduct raw grain transactions through the Internet. As long as we can gain a small share of the massive grain trade, the future development of the enterprise
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What Happens to Farmers After Land Transfer? Orderly Transfer of Farmland Faces Practical Difficulties
At the end of 2014, the General Office of the CPC Central Committee and the General Office of the State Council issued the "Opinions on Guiding the Orderly Transfer of Rural Land Management Rights and Developing Moderately Scaled Agricultural Operations" (hereinafter referred to as the "Opinions"), which, on the premise of upholding the household contract responsibility system without wavering, proposed guiding rural land
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Rural e-commerce faces a talent shortage: even a monthly salary of over 10,000 yuan can't attract workers
Qingyuan City in the mountainous region of northern Guangdong recently held its first O2O Youth E-commerce Festival, with a focus on rural e-commerce. At the venue, reporters saw that of the 63 local agricultural e-commerce companies exhibiting, many had put up huge recruitment advertisements in addition to promoting their products. These rural e-commerce companies offer
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Summer bird flu threat resurfaces, vaccine company stock prices rise in response
Last weekend, rumors of a bird flu threat once again circulated in the poultry farming market: according to some media reports, Fogang County in Qingyuan City recently reported an outbreak of highly pathogenic H5N6 avian influenza; all 38,110 birds at 13 poultry farms within the epidemic zone were culled.
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China's grain output, imports and stocks all rising at once: what new problems does this pose?
In 2014, China's annual grain output achieved an 11th consecutive increase, basically remaining above 600 million tons, and at the same time, China's grain imports also grew rapidly. The reporter learned that over the whole of last year, China's grain imports exceeded 100 million tons for the first time, while according to data released by the General Administration of Customs on the 8th
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Soybean meal market faces pullback pressure after weather-driven speculation
Over the past two months, soybean meal futures contracts have seen a sharp decline followed by a rapid rebound, and the current price is already close to the high at the start of the decline. Does this mean the soybean meal market has already reversed? First, let us analyze the reasons for the earlier decline in soybean meal: First, sluggish domestic demand for soybean meal led to price declines. Weak demand in the livestock and aquaculture industry constrained soybean meal consumption. China's hog inventory and breeding sow inventory fell sharply year on year; prices of meat, eggs and poultry were sluggish, and farming losses were severe; demand in aquaculture slowed, constraining demand for protein meal. Second, soybean meal supply increased substantially, spot prices fell sharply, some basis contracts faced default risk, and selling off occurred.</P><P> Now let us look at the reasons for the rapid rise in soybean meal. The author believes that the rise in soybean meal came partly from a return of prices after the earlier excessive decline; on the other hand, it came from speculation driven by heavy rain in the main U.S. soybean producing areas, which caused market concern about U.S. soybean planted area and good-to-excellent ratings. The planted area data and weekly soybean good-to-excellent ratings data released by the U.S. Department of Agriculture on June 30 both confirmed the market's concerns about U.S. soybean planting. These data will, in the short term, still support U.S. soybean futures in maintaining high-level oscillation, which will substantially raise the cost of China's imported soybeans, forcing crushing plants to passively raise the prices of soybean meal and soybean oil.</P><P> But in the short term, speculation over the impact of severe weather on planting may cool somewhat, and the loose fundamentals will bring great pressure on soybean meal prices.</P><P> From the perspective of soybean meal supply, global soybean supply is ample. After U.S. soybeans hit a record high last year, soybean output in Argentina and Brazil also hit record highs, which will suppress legume prices over the medium and long term. Domestically, China's soybean imports in June may reach 8.53 million tons and in July reach 8 million tons, so soybean sources are very abundant; at present, the operating rate of domestic crushing plants remains at an extremely high level of about 54%, and soybean meal supply has recently remained high. The volume of domestic rapeseed meal and imported DDGS remains high, suppressing plant protein prices.</P><P> On the demand side, although the hog farming industry currently shows restocking demand, truly driving soybean meal consumption may still require waiting for hog inventory data to stop falling and rebound before it can be confirmed. The meat, egg and poultry farming industry remains sluggish. Due to oversupply, prices of meat poultry and eggs fell sharply earlier, severely dampening the enthusiasm of farming enterprises to restock. In aquaculture, because oversupply last year led to sharp price declines, pond stock levels in the south are relatively high this year, constraining the release of fry. Recently, rainfall has been excessive, feed placement in ponds has decreased, which is bearish for meal consumption. Later, as large quantities of stocked fish are sold, demand for protein meal from newly released fry may decline substantially, so demand for protein meal from aquaculture later is also worrying.</P><P> Based on the information on both supply and demand, the author believes that soybean meal supply and demand will remain loose, and after the bullish U.S. heavy rain weather factor is fully priced in, soybean meal prices will return to fundamentals in the short term, with the possibility of oscillating pullbacks.</P></p>
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